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Forecast from Yr Norsk

 

Here is the weather forecast for Austad/Fjell. First a detailed graph showing the forecast hour-by-hour. Then follows a forecast for the next days together with an evaluation by a meteorologist. The meteorologist's evaluation does not exist in English, but I include the Norwegian evaluation. At the bottom comes a graphical probability forecast for the next 10 days.All forecasts are updated regulary.

Weather forecast is built on data from yr.no, delivered by Norwegian Meteorological Institute and NRK.

NB: The precipitation in the first chart is shown in mm, not inches!

 

Meteogram for Konnerud

 

 

From/to
 
Forecast
 
Precipitation
Temp
Wind
 
2020.01.24 08:00-12:00 Fair Fair 0.00in 37.4°F Light breeze from south-southwest 7.2mph
  12:00-18:00 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy 0.00in 37.4°F Gentle breeze from south 8.5mph
  18:00-00:00 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy 0.00in 33.8°F Gentle breeze from southwest 9.2mph
2020.01.25 00:00-06:00 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy 0.00in 32.0°F Light breeze from southwest 4.7mph
  06:00-12:00 Cloudy Cloudy 0.00in 33.8°F Gentle breeze from west 8.1mph
  12:00-18:00 Cloudy Cloudy 0.00in 33.8°F Light breeze from south 6.7mph
  18:00-00:00 Cloudy Cloudy 0.00in 35.6°F Gentle breeze from south-southwest 7.8mph
2020.01.26 00:00-06:00 Cloudy Cloudy 0.00in 37.4°F Gentle breeze from south-southwest 7.8mph
  06:00-12:00 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy 0.00in 33.8°F Gentle breeze from south-southwest 7.6mph
  12:00-18:00 Cloudy Cloudy 0.00in 35.6°F Light breeze from south-southwest 5.8mph
  19:00-01:00 Cloudy Cloudy 0.00in 33.8°F Light breeze from south-southwest 5.6mph
2020.01.27 01:00-07:00 Rain Rain 0.07in 41.0°F Gentle breeze from south-southeast 7.6mph
  07:00-13:00 Rain Rain 0.13in 39.2°F Gentle breeze from south-southeast 10.3mph
  13:00-19:00 Rain Rain 0.10in 39.2°F Gentle breeze from southeast 8.1mph
  19:00-01:00 Cloudy Cloudy 0.00in 35.6°F Light breeze from southwest 5.8mph
2020.01.28 01:00-07:00 Cloudy Cloudy 0.00in 33.8°F Light breeze from south 4.5mph
  07:00-13:00 Rain Rain 0.10in 33.8°F Light air from north 2.5mph
  13:00-19:00 Sleet Sleet 0.12in 35.6°F Gentle breeze from east-northeast 7.6mph
  19:00-01:00 Sleet Sleet 0.11in 35.6°F Gentle breeze from east-northeast 8.1mph
2020.01.29 01:00-07:00 Snow Snow 0.09in 35.6°F Light breeze from north-northeast 6.0mph
  07:00-13:00 Cloudy Cloudy 0.00in 32.0°F Light breeze from west-northwest 4.7mph
  13:00-19:00 Cloudy Cloudy 0.00in 33.8°F Light breeze from north 4.5mph
  19:00-01:00 Cloudy Cloudy 0.00in 30.2°F Light air from northwest 3.4mph
2020.01.30 01:00-07:00 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy 0.00in 26.6°F Light air from north-northeast 2.9mph
  07:00-13:00 Cloudy Cloudy 0.00in 26.6°F Light breeze from northwest 3.8mph
  13:00-19:00 Cloudy Cloudy 0.00in 30.2°F Light breeze from northwest 4.0mph
  19:00-01:00 Cloudy Cloudy 0.00in 28.4°F Light air from south 1.6mph
2020.01.31 01:00-07:00 Cloudy Cloudy 0.00in 28.4°F Light air from south-southeast 1.8mph
  07:00-13:00 Cloudy Cloudy 0.00in 32.0°F Light air from east-southeast 2.5mph
  13:00-19:00 Cloudy Cloudy 0.00in 35.6°F Light breeze from south-southwest 5.4mph
  19:00-01:00 Cloudy Cloudy 0.00in 33.8°F Light air from west-northwest 3.4mph
2020.02.01 01:00-07:00 Cloudy Cloudy 0.00in 32.0°F Light air from north-northeast 2.7mph
  07:00-13:00 Cloudy Cloudy 0.00in 32.0°F Light breeze from south 4.3mph
  13:00-19:00 Cloudy Cloudy 0.00in 37.4°F Light breeze from north-northwest 4.3mph
  19:00-01:00 Cloudy Cloudy 0.00in 32.0°F Light breeze from west 4.9mph
2020.02.02 01:00-07:00 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy 0.00in 30.2°F Light air from north-northeast 2.2mph

Probability forecast

The long term forecast in the table above contains the most predictable weather information, and how certain we are that the forecast is correct.

The probability forecast in the diagram below indicates the probabilities for different possible developments of the temperature and precipitation. The long term forecast is given by black lines.

The grey fields (for temperature) and the blue fields (for precipitation) indicate the range of possible weather developments which are predominantly probable (80 percent). The width of the fields ir proportional to the degree of uncertainty of the forecast.

Within these fields, it is considered most probable (50 percent) that the development hits the dark part. Still it is somewhat probable (30 percent) that it hits the lighter part outside the dark.

Probability forecast for Austad/Fjell

What is the probability for different weather?

The long term forecast (from the table at the top) is indicated with a black line.

  • Temperature:
  • 50 % probability
  • 30 % probability
  • Precipitation:
  • 50 % probability
  • 30 % probability