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Forecast from Yr Norsk

 

Here is the weather forecast for Austad/Fjell. First a detailed graph showing the forecast hour-by-hour. Then follows a forecast for the next days together with an evaluation by a meteorologist. The meteorologist's evaluation does not exist in English, but I include the Norwegian evaluation. At the bottom comes a graphical probability forecast for the next 10 days.All forecasts are updated regulary.

Weather forecast is built on data from yr.no, delivered by Norwegian Meteorological Institute and NRK.

NB: The precipitation in the first chart is shown in mm, not inches!

 

Meteogram for Konnerud

 

 

From/to
 
Forecast
 
Precipitation
Temp
Wind
 
2020.09.29 15:00-18:00 Cloudy Cloudy 0.00in 55.4°F Light breeze from south 4.5mph
  18:00-00:00 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy 0.00in 57.2°F Light breeze from south-southeast 4.3mph
2020.09.30 00:00-06:00 Light rain Light rain 0.02in 51.8°F Light air from northwest 2.2mph
  06:00-12:00 Light rain Light rain 0.04in 50.0°F Light air from north 1.1mph
  12:00-18:00 Light rain Light rain 0.02in 51.8°F Light breeze from east 4.9mph
  18:00-00:00 Light rain Light rain 0.02in 53.6°F Light breeze from southeast 6.9mph
2020.10.01 00:00-06:00 Cloudy Cloudy 0.00in 53.6°F Light air from northeast 2.2mph
  06:00-12:00 Cloudy Cloudy 0.00in 50.0°F Light air from north 2.7mph
  12:00-18:00 Cloudy Cloudy 0.00in 53.6°F Gentle breeze from east 7.6mph
  20:00-02:00 Rain Rain 0.10in 53.6°F Gentle breeze from northeast 7.8mph
2020.10.02 02:00-08:00 Rain Rain 0.11in 51.8°F Light breeze from northeast 6.9mph
  08:00-14:00 Rain Rain 0.12in 51.8°F Gentle breeze from northeast 8.7mph
  14:00-20:00 Rain Rain 0.11in 57.2°F Gentle breeze from east-northeast 10.5mph
  20:00-02:00 Rain Rain 0.11in 55.4°F Gentle breeze from northeast 9.2mph
2020.10.03 02:00-08:00 Rain Rain 0.11in 53.6°F Gentle breeze from east-northeast 7.6mph
  08:00-14:00 Rain Rain 0.10in 51.8°F Gentle breeze from east-northeast 9.6mph
  14:00-20:00 Rain Rain 0.11in 57.2°F Gentle breeze from east-northeast 12.1mph
  20:00-02:00 Heavy rain Heavy rain 0.21in 57.2°F Moderate breeze from east-northeast 13.6mph
2020.10.04 02:00-08:00 Heavy rain Heavy rain 0.25in 53.6°F Gentle breeze from east-northeast 11.4mph
  08:00-14:00 Heavy rain Heavy rain 0.38in 55.4°F Moderate breeze from north-northeast 14.1mph
  14:00-20:00 Heavy rain Heavy rain 0.31in 57.2°F Moderate breeze from east 13.2mph
  20:00-02:00 Heavy rain Heavy rain 0.25in 55.4°F Moderate breeze from east-northeast 13.2mph
2020.10.05 02:00-08:00 Rain Rain 0.10in 51.8°F Light breeze from east-northeast 4.3mph
  08:00-14:00 Cloudy Cloudy 0.00in 50.0°F Light air from east 3.1mph
  14:00-20:00 Cloudy Cloudy 0.00in 55.4°F Light breeze from south-southwest 4.7mph
  20:00-02:00 Rain Rain 0.11in 51.8°F Light breeze from northeast 6.0mph
2020.10.06 02:00-08:00 Rain Rain 0.13in 50.0°F Light breeze from north 7.2mph
  08:00-14:00 Heavy rain Heavy rain 0.21in 50.0°F Gentle breeze from north-northwest 11.2mph
  14:00-20:00 Rain Rain 0.13in 53.6°F Gentle breeze from north-northeast 11.6mph
  20:00-02:00 Rain Rain 0.13in 51.8°F Light breeze from north 3.8mph
2020.10.07 02:00-08:00 Rain Rain 0.14in 50.0°F Light breeze from north-northeast 5.4mph
  08:00-14:00 Rain Rain 0.15in 50.0°F Light breeze from north-northwest 6.5mph
  14:00-20:00 Cloudy Cloudy 0.00in 53.6°F Light breeze from north-northeast 4.3mph
  20:00-02:00 Rain Rain 0.10in 51.8°F Light air from north 2.7mph
2020.10.08 02:00-08:00 Rain Rain 0.10in 50.0°F Light breeze from north-northeast 4.3mph
  08:00-14:00 Rain Rain 0.12in 50.0°F Light breeze from east-southeast 5.6mph
  14:00-20:00 Cloudy Cloudy 0.00in 53.6°F Light breeze from east 5.6mph

Probability forecast

The long term forecast in the table above contains the most predictable weather information, and how certain we are that the forecast is correct.

The probability forecast in the diagram below indicates the probabilities for different possible developments of the temperature and precipitation. The long term forecast is given by black lines.

The grey fields (for temperature) and the blue fields (for precipitation) indicate the range of possible weather developments which are predominantly probable (80 percent). The width of the fields ir proportional to the degree of uncertainty of the forecast.

Within these fields, it is considered most probable (50 percent) that the development hits the dark part. Still it is somewhat probable (30 percent) that it hits the lighter part outside the dark.

Probability forecast for Austad/Fjell

What is the probability for different weather?

The long term forecast (from the table at the top) is indicated with a black line.

  • Temperature:
  • 50 % probability
  • 30 % probability
  • Precipitation:
  • 50 % probability
  • 30 % probability
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