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Forecast from Yr Norsk

 

Here is the weather forecast for Austad/Fjell. First a detailed graph showing the forecast hour-by-hour. Then follows a forecast for the next days together with an evaluation by a meteorologist. The meteorologist's evaluation does not exist in English, but I include the Norwegian evaluation. At the bottom comes a graphical probability forecast for the next 10 days.All forecasts are updated regulary.

Weather forecast is built on data from yr.no, delivered by Norwegian Meteorological Institute and NRK.

NB: The precipitation in the first chart is shown in mm, not inches!

 

Meteogram for Konnerud

 

 

From/to
 
Forecast
 
Precipitation
Temp
Wind
 
2020.07.04 23:00-00:00 Fair Fair 0.00in 59.0°F Light breeze from south-southwest 3.6mph
2020.07.05 00:00-06:00 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy 0.00in 57.2°F Light breeze from southwest 4.3mph
  06:00-12:00 Heavy rain Heavy rain 0.21in 51.8°F Light air from northwest 2.5mph
  12:00-18:00 Heavy rain Heavy rain 0.32in 55.4°F Gentle breeze from east-northeast 8.9mph
  18:00-00:00 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy 0.00in 59.0°F Light air from southwest 2.9mph
2020.07.06 00:00-06:00 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy 0.00in 53.6°F Light breeze from south-southwest 6.7mph
  06:00-12:00 Cloudy Cloudy 0.00in 51.8°F Gentle breeze from west-southwest 10.5mph
  12:00-18:00 Cloudy Cloudy 0.00in 64.4°F Gentle breeze from west-southwest 12.1mph
  18:00-00:00 Cloudy Cloudy 0.00in 62.6°F Gentle breeze from northwest 11.2mph
2020.07.07 02:00-08:00 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy 0.00in 51.8°F Moderate breeze from west-northwest 12.3mph
  08:00-14:00 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy 0.00in 51.8°F Light breeze from west-northwest 6.9mph
  14:00-20:00 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy 0.00in 62.6°F Light breeze from west-southwest 6.5mph
  20:00-02:00 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy 0.00in 59.0°F Light breeze from north 5.8mph
2020.07.08 02:00-08:00 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy 0.00in 50.0°F Light breeze from northwest 5.1mph
  08:00-14:00 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy 0.00in 51.8°F Light breeze from northwest 5.8mph
  14:00-20:00 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy 0.00in 60.8°F Light breeze from southwest 4.5mph
  20:00-02:00 Fair Fair 0.00in 60.8°F Light air from southwest 2.7mph
2020.07.09 02:00-08:00 Fair Fair 0.00in 51.8°F Light air from west-northwest 2.9mph
  08:00-14:00 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy 0.00in 55.4°F Light air from north-northeast 3.1mph
  14:00-20:00 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy 0.00in 62.6°F Light air from west-northwest 1.8mph
  20:00-02:00 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy 0.00in 60.8°F Light breeze from north 3.6mph
2020.07.10 02:00-08:00 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy 0.00in 53.6°F Light air from south-southeast 2.9mph
  08:00-14:00 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy 0.00in 55.4°F Light air from north 2.0mph
  14:00-20:00 Cloudy Cloudy 0.00in 64.4°F Light breeze from south-southwest 5.4mph
  20:00-02:00 Rain Rain 0.13in 59.0°F Light air from southeast 2.7mph
2020.07.11 02:00-08:00 Cloudy Cloudy 0.00in 53.6°F Light breeze from northwest 4.5mph
  08:00-14:00 Rain Rain 0.11in 53.6°F Light breeze from north 6.5mph
  14:00-20:00 Cloudy Cloudy 0.00in 64.4°F Light breeze from northwest 6.5mph
  20:00-02:00 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy 0.00in 62.6°F Light air from west-northwest 3.1mph
2020.07.12 02:00-08:00 Fair Fair 0.00in 53.6°F Light breeze from north 4.3mph
  08:00-14:00 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy 0.00in 55.4°F Light breeze from northwest 5.4mph
  14:00-20:00 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy 0.00in 66.2°F Light breeze from west-northwest 4.5mph
  20:00-02:00 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy 0.00in 64.4°F Light air from north-northeast 2.7mph
2020.07.13 02:00-08:00 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy 0.00in 55.4°F Light breeze from west-northwest 4.3mph
  08:00-14:00 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy 0.00in 57.2°F Light breeze from north-northeast 4.5mph
  14:00-20:00 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy 0.00in 66.2°F Light air from south 2.2mph

Probability forecast

The long term forecast in the table above contains the most predictable weather information, and how certain we are that the forecast is correct.

The probability forecast in the diagram below indicates the probabilities for different possible developments of the temperature and precipitation. The long term forecast is given by black lines.

The grey fields (for temperature) and the blue fields (for precipitation) indicate the range of possible weather developments which are predominantly probable (80 percent). The width of the fields ir proportional to the degree of uncertainty of the forecast.

Within these fields, it is considered most probable (50 percent) that the development hits the dark part. Still it is somewhat probable (30 percent) that it hits the lighter part outside the dark.

Probability forecast for Austad/Fjell

What is the probability for different weather?

The long term forecast (from the table at the top) is indicated with a black line.

  • Temperature:
  • 50 % probability
  • 30 % probability
  • Precipitation:
  • 50 % probability
  • 30 % probability
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